Recent Insights

Not a George Bailey Moment
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Not a George Bailey Moment

The Federal Reserve was established in 1913 in response to the Panic of 1907. It was initially designed to address bank panics. Its initial purpose was to lend when no one else was willing. But recent events are a reminder that confidence is the cornerstone of the financial system. We place funds in banks because we expect immediate, unfettered, and full access to those funds.

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Silicon Valley Bank, First Republic and Signature Bank
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Silicon Valley Bank, First Republic and Signature Bank

We have all seen the headlines surrounding 3 banks with regulators stepping in to run the bank and get deposits back to depositors. The pressure these banks went through was due to their unique clientele, their decisions on what to do with their deposits, some of their deposit requirements, and a change in interest rate policy.

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Pandemic Distortions
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Pandemic Distortions

The economic distortions tied to the pandemic and the government’s massive response to prop up the economy have been far-reaching.

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The Long and Winding Road to Lower Inflation
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The Long and Winding Road to Lower Inflation

The Fed's road to 2% annual inflation took a curious turn last week, disappointing some investors that had been expecting continued progress on inflation.

But given the inflation data last week, January’s blockbuster payroll number, and the upturn in consumer spending last month, investor expectations of a near-term peak in rates have receded.

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Housing Thaw
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Housing Thaw

Housing sales tumbled since the beginning of 2022, as the jump in mortgage rates forced many buyers to the sidelines. Existing home sales fell a whopping 38% last year, according to the National Association of Realtors.

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The Two Faces of Powell
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The Two Faces of Powell

Friday’s announcement from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics of 517,000 net new jobs last month was a shocker and far above the CNBC consensus of 187,000. In part, the economy is expanding. In part, the huge number of job openings has not yet abated, even as companies in some industries continue to backfill open positions that should have been filled months ago.

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10 Important Changes to Retirement Planning
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10 Important Changes to Retirement Planning

At the end of last year, Congress passed the SECURE Act 2.0, a follow-up to an overhaul of retirement laws passed just three years ago. The changes make it easier to save for retirement and may stretch out your savings while in retirement.

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Meaningful Progress
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Meaningful Progress

There has been meaningful progress on the inflation front. The annual rate of inflation has slowed, and the ever-visible price of gasoline is well off last year’s high. But as every child has asked on a long road trip, “Are we there yet?”

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