Recent Newsletters
Hiccups in the Job Market
The Federal Reserve was established in 1913 in response to the Panic of 1907. It was initially designed to address bank panics. Its initial purpose was to lend when no one else was willing. But recent events are a reminder that confidence is the cornerstone of the financial system. We place funds in banks because we expect immediate, unfettered, and full access to those funds.
Not a George Bailey Moment
The Federal Reserve was established in 1913 in response to the Panic of 1907. It was initially designed to address bank panics. Its initial purpose was to lend when no one else was willing. But recent events are a reminder that confidence is the cornerstone of the financial system. We place funds in banks because we expect immediate, unfettered, and full access to those funds.
Silicon Valley Bank, First Republic and Signature Bank
We have all seen the headlines surrounding 3 banks with regulators stepping in to run the bank and get deposits back to depositors. The pressure these banks went through was due to their unique clientele, their decisions on what to do with their deposits, some of their deposit requirements, and a change in interest rate policy.
Pandemic Distortions
The economic distortions tied to the pandemic and the government’s massive response to prop up the economy have been far-reaching.
The Long and Winding Road to Lower Inflation
The Fed's road to 2% annual inflation took a curious turn last week, disappointing some investors that had been expecting continued progress on inflation.
But given the inflation data last week, January’s blockbuster payroll number, and the upturn in consumer spending last month, investor expectations of a near-term peak in rates have receded.
Housing Thaw
Housing sales tumbled since the beginning of 2022, as the jump in mortgage rates forced many buyers to the sidelines. Existing home sales fell a whopping 38% last year, according to the National Association of Realtors.
The Two Faces of Powell
Friday’s announcement from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics of 517,000 net new jobs last month was a shocker and far above the CNBC consensus of 187,000. In part, the economy is expanding. In part, the huge number of job openings has not yet abated, even as companies in some industries continue to backfill open positions that should have been filled months ago.
10 Important Changes to Retirement Planning
At the end of last year, Congress passed the SECURE Act 2.0, a follow-up to an overhaul of retirement laws passed just three years ago. The changes make it easier to save for retirement and may stretch out your savings while in retirement.